Biggest trades this weekLive
- @junemonroe@junemonroe bought YES · 250 SP · Celebrity beauty brand shutdown 2026: Item Beauty
- @rowanalvarez@rowanalvarez bought YES · 250 SP · Next DTC apparel casualty in 2026: Allbirds
- @remymonroe@remymonroe bought YES · 250 SP · Will Caraway announce a Target exclusive collection by July 1, 2026?
- @laneblake@laneblake bought YES · 250 SP · Wirecutter 2026 top mattress pick: Casper Original
- @kairivera@kairivera bought YES · 250 SP · Will Lululemon announce an acquisition target valued > $250M in 2026?
- @lilyramos@lilyramos bought YES · 250 SP · Most-funded vertical farming startup 2026: Gotham Greens
- @reesebennett@reesebennett bought NO · 250 SP · Drunk Elephant new owner's first 2026 move: Re-sell
The prediction market for people building consumer brands.
Operators across consumer brands (apparel, beverage, media, retail, tech, auto) trading YES/NO on outcomes that resolve from public sources. Play money, real signal.
- Operators in the room
- 104
- Active markets
- 613
- Trades placed
- 11,058
- Resolved
- 63
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On the wire right now
The markets the consumer-brand press is covering most this month. Updated as stories land.
Will Branch Basics enter Whole Foods by July 31, 2026?
- Yes61%
- No39%
Closes in 2 monthsHome
Will On Holding AG cross $3B in annual revenue in 2026?
- Yes49%
- No51%
Closes in 12 monthsApparel
Will J.Crew Group announce an IPO, sale, or restructure in 2026?
- Yes50%
- No50%
Closes in 9 monthsApparel
Will Allbirds report a positive same-store-sales quarter in 2026?
- Yes47%
- No53%
Closes in 10 monthsApparel
Will Disney+ raise its US ad-free price again in 2026?
- Yes57%
- No43%
Closes in 7 monthsMedia
Will Liquid Death announce an international retail expansion by July 31, 2026?
- Yes63%
- No37%
Closes in 2 monthsBeverage